AVAX Breaks Out of Wedge—Can It Realistically Hit the $40–$60 Target Range?

  • Trend reversal is signaled by a breakout of Avalanche from a descending broadening wedge that restrained its price since December 2024.
  • Assuming that AVAX continues to hold above levels of $22.88 and volume returns the analysis expects a rally between 100% to 150% to take place.
  • The breakout is being tested in the vicinity of the $24.33 resistance zone, where a stable price and a more general market mood are important in validating the trend.

Avalanche (AVAX), which stands at #15 by market capitalization, has started to attract the attention of traders with confirmed breakout from the descending broadening wedge on the daily timeframe. The breakout evident on recent technical charts may be a precursor to an important trend reversal after several months of price contraction. Analysts following the development indicate that if the bullish momentum finds momentum, then AVAX could see a big rally in the range 100% to 150% in the medium term.

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Technical Pattern Signals Change in Market Structure

The descending broadening wedge—a bearish pattern to suggest a potential bullish breakout action—had limited AVAX’s price action since December 2024. The breakout near $22.88 support is viewed as technically important as it has taken a long time to consolidate and also accompanied by increasing volumes of trading.

As of May 10, 2025, AVAX was trading at approximately $24.17, reflecting a 4.7% increase in the last 24 hours. Compared to Bitcoin, the token has risen 3.5% to trade at 0.0002329 BTC. The break above the wedge’s resistance is concurrent with a local resistance test at $24.33. Price levels in the vicinity of this zone are now under intense scrutiny to establish whether the breakout will hold or be denied in the short term.

AVAX Eyes Rally, Holds Crucial $22.88 Support

Market analysts emphasize that although the chart structure is promising, confirmation requires follow-through in both price and volume. A breakdown from support  above  $22.88 might be a false breakout, which may send AVAX back to its previous range. If, however, the price stays above this level with increasing buyer volume, a strong rally might develop.

The measured pulse from the wedge pattern implies a possible price target in the $40-$60 timeframe. However, this projection is dependent on positive macroeconomic conditions and wider crypto market sentiment which remains promising but also bearish. This recent breakout has similarities with other altcoins’ upward moves thus it may reflect a general rebound in investor risk appetite.

Bottom Line

While there is a technical optimism, the wider crypto sphere is still plagued by regulatory pressures and macroeconomic headwinds. Market participants are becoming more prudent especially given the recent history where altcoin rallies have followed quickly by sharp corrections. Even so, the creation and breakout of such a persistent pattern denotes a change in momentum that is noteworthy.

Although it is too soon to tell how long the breakout will last, the technical signals are clear: a strong flagship has been broken and the market may enter a new phase of development of trends. Both traders and analysts will be very keen in days to come to watch key support and resistance levels to determine the strength of this move.


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