Binance Netflow Reads at -311 BTC: Could This Be the Start of Bitcoin’s Next Bullish Rally?

Bitcoin

  • Binance recorded sustained Bitcoin outflows in 2025, with the 30-day SMA at -311.25 BTC by September 28.
  • Despite persistent outflows, Bitcoin’s price recovered to $110,902, showing strength against declining exchange-held supply.
  • Large netflow swings between January and July coincided with key price shifts, while August showed balanced but negative flows.

Throughout 2025, Bitcoin’s netflow activity on Binance displayed consistent fluctuations, with negative exchange flows prevailing in recent months. As of September 28, the 30-day simple moving average (SMA) of Bitcoin netflow on Binance registered at -311.25 BTC. This figure reflects steady outflows, with the trend sustained by a 20-day netflow average of -392 BTC. Despite persistent outflows, Bitcoin’s price stands at $110,902, showing resilience in the face of declining exchange-held supply.

Outflows Strengthened in Early 2025 as Prices Moved Sideways

As per CryptoQuant analysis, a deeper view reveals that in January, Binance saw dominant outflows marked by consecutive red bars across the chart. During several sessions, exchange netflow dipped below -7,500 BTC. These sharp movements occurred while Bitcoin’s price hovered around the $90,000 mark without a clear direction. Netflows fluctuated widely, with volatility characterizing the first half of the year.

Source: CryptoQuant (X)

Inflows and outflows were mixed throughout the month of February, with values going as high as +2,500 BTC and as low as -3,000 BTC. The green and red bar turns were an indication of the backward and forward flow of money by investors. In spite of the oscillating flow direction, netflows were very active, in agreement with an unchanging price towards key resistance levels.

During March, Binance recorded narrower flow activity, with large inflows decreasing notably. Bitcoin’s price stayed consolidated and reached $95,000 by late March. The netflow trend shifted again in April, with outflows accelerating and a sharp drop passing -6,000 BTC. This movement correlated with brief price declines, though losses remained limited.

May Through July Marked a Period of Price Growth Amid Mixed Netflows

By May, inflows increased, shown by a rise in green bars across the netflow chart. During this period, Bitcoin’s price steadily climbed, crossing above $110,000 late in the month.

June brought alternating flows, but outflows became more common near mid-month. Red bars showed daily outflows between -2,000 BTC and -4,000 BTC. Despite this, Bitcoin’s price pushed higher, reaching close to $125,000 in early July. In mid-July, a wave of inflows reduced netflow volatility. Green bars grew more visible, indicating more exchange deposits.

In August, Bitcoin’s price reversed from earlier highs. The netflow chart showed more balanced flows with continued red bar presence. Netflows ranged from -1,000 BTC to -3,000 BTC during the decline back toward $100,000. As of late September, netflows remain negative. The 30-day SMA holds below the -1,000 BTC alert condition previously observed. Bitcoin maintains a price of $110,902, despite the continued movement of assets away from Binance.


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