Polkadot Holds Above $3.75 — Is a Major Bullish Breakout Just Around the Corner?

  • DOT’s price is above $3.75 strong support and within a prolonged consolidation phase.
  • Technical indicators like RSI and MACD show neutral momentum.
  • Increasing open interest and a growing number of long positions show traders are gearing up for DOT’s next big move.

Polkadot (DOT) is stuck in a tight range near $3.80, as buyers and sellers battle it out. With support and resistance closing in, traders are watching closely for a breakout. DOT is currently trading at $3.82, up 1.09% in the last 24 hours, despite a slight 0.09%dip over the past week.

Technicals Suggest Neutral Momentum

According to Quantum Ascend, DOT is forming a pattern of lower highs and higher lows. Key support continues to hold at $3.75, which lines up with the 0.309 Fibonacci level and a key trendline.

https://twitter.com/quantum_ascend/status/1963587864329089082

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart is around 53, pointing to neutral price momentum. This suggests the asset isn’t in overbought or oversold territory.The MACD lines are coming closer together, hinting at a potential bullish crossover. Meanwhile, the small histogram bars indicate that buying and selling pressure are fairly even.

Trading volume is holding steady as the market seems to be waiting for a decisive move above $4.20 or below $3.75.

Downtrend Structure on the Daily Chart Remains Intact

DOT’s price has been trapped between $3.25 and $4.00 for months, creating a tight consolidation range. A descending resistance line continues to cap gains, with repeated rejections near $4.00–$4.20.

Support at $3.26 has been tested several times and is holding up.The inability to push past resistance shows that selling pressure is continuing. A close above $4.20 may signal a shift toward $5.50. If support fails, DOT could revisit earlier 2025 lows.

Market Capitalization and Derivatives Reflect Cautious Optimism

From August 29 to September 5, DOT’s market cap moved between $5.80 billion and $6.30 billion. After dropping around September 1–2, it quickly rebounded, hitting above $6.30 billion, before settling above $6.00 billion. Derivatives data shows a 6.81% drop in volume to $316.12 million, but open interest rose 2.30% to $487.07 million. The long/short ratio sits at 0.9183, showing a slight lean toward shorts. Yet, traders on Binance and OKX are heavily long. Long liquidations have outpaced shorts, signaling volatility despite optimistic positions.


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